Friday, April 20, 2007

*Update* A-Rod for MVP's looking pretty realistic about now, isn't it?

A-Rod's now hit an unprecedented 10 homeruns in his team's first fourteen games, two of which have been walk-off shots. And in the Bronx, I have a feeling people are beginning to dig those #13 jerseys out of the back of their closets. I'm rather fond of this article by ESPN columnist Gene Wojciechowski, which states "[The New York Yankees] are being carried on the previously fragile shoulders of Rodriguez, who is shoving Barry Bonds, Dice-K, the Philadelphia Phillies Phree-fall -- and anyone else to temporary baseball irrelevancy." My favorite part of the ariticle was this side-bar (thanks to Screengrab! for allowing me to capture it), which shows just how offensively potent A-Rod is compared other entire lineups in the major leagues. I know, I know, I'm prattling on about a Yankee, but c'mon! This is unreal, and I've always said I'm a baseball fan first and a Red Sox fan second. Good for A-Rod for shoving it right in the faces of all those doubting fans, and let's hope that he decides to opt of his contract and take over for Mike Lowell in Boston's hot corner next season. ;-)
Source: ESPN.com - COLUMNIST - Wojciechowskie: 'A-Rod Gone Wild!'

Monday, April 16, 2007

Sox wrap up Angels series in style

Though the four-game series is technically not over until the two teams make up the game that was rained out yesterday, the Red Sox still managed to defeat the Angels in three games this weekend, scoring 25 runs to LA's three. Today's 7-2 win put the icing on the cake, capping off the series with a homerun for David Ortiz and some nice defense from Julio Lugo, who made perhaps the best play of the young season for Boston when he made this sliding catch in center field. The Angels are hardly the worst team in the league, and the offensive breakout of the Sox (coupled with the slew of injuries in the New York's already-weak starting rotation) gives more evidence of the fact that the Sox are the team to beat in the league this season.

MLB Preview '07: MVP Surprise Favorites

In lieu of doing the typical MVP favorites piece filled with names like Pujols, Ortiz, Jeter, and Ryan (who are all but guaranteed to show up on the MVP top ten this year), I've opted instead to choose five players from each league who may not be the first to come to mind when the topic of Most Valuable Player is brought up, but who I'm projecting to fill just that role for their teams and possibly make a run at the title.

American League:

1. 3B Alex Rodriguez (Yankees): Okay, so A-Rod wouldn't be a huge surprise to take the MVP, considering he won the award just two years ago for the second time in his illustrious career. But Rodriguez struggled defensively last season and was weak enough at the plate to see a drop to number eight in the batting order during the 2006 post-season, making him prime for a big come back in 2007. This also may be his last year in pinstripes, as he will have the choice of opting out of his contract with the Yankees at the end of the season. Knowing that this could be a contract year may be enough to motivate A-Rod to 50-plus homers and 130-plus RBI. He's already started off the season as the hottest hitter in the bigs, knocking six long balls in his first seven games of 2007. Voters are sure to take a good long look at the Yankees' third baseman come October.

2. OF/DH Gary Sheffield (Tigers): Detroit already has all the pitching they need to make it deep into the post-season, but the reason they didn't win the World Championship in 2006 was a sudden drop-off in offense. Without making many other changes to the roster, Detroit traded for Sheffield and immediately made a huge impact on their lineup. Though he was injured most of last year, Sheffield is still one of the most feared hitters in the league. Though the baseball writers are supposed to disregard playoff performances in casting their votes for MVP, if Sheffield's bat leads to a championship in Detroit it's going to be hard to argue who the most valuable player in the league really is.

3. 3B Akinori Iwamura (Devil Rays): Hoping to do for Tampa Bay what Ichiro did for Seattle in 2001; that is, take over as the face of the franchise and help the team make an impact in the division. Now, the Mariners won 116 games in Ichiro's rookie year, which is highly unlikely for the Devil Rays. Iwamura shares Suzuki's sweet left-handed swing and slick fielding abilities, so I would be impressed, but not surprised to see the third baseman follow his countryman's lead by taking the Gold Glove, Rookie-of-the-Year, and MVP all in the same season.

4. C Joe Mauer (Twins): Even though his teammate Justin Morneau won the award last season, it is widely held that Mauer was really the most valuable Twin on the roster. Being the first catcher to take the batting title since 1942 really helps his cause in that regard. Everyone knows that playing backstop is the most difficult position on the field, and to prove yourself to be a force at the plate as well as behind it is truly one of the most impressive feats in baseball. If the Twins succeed as they did in 2006, I wouldn't be surprised to see the voters take notice of the Minnesota backstop as well as his teammates.

5. CF Vernon Wells (Blue Jays): Though he did just score a huge contract with Toronto, Wells remains one of the most underrated players in the game. He's right up there with Andruw Jones and Carlos Beltran as far as center fielders go, but he plays in the AL East where an impact player is far more important than in the National League. Players from Boston already know better than to try to test Wells' arm on the basepaths.

National League

1. SS Jose Reyes (Mets): Reyes broke out in a big way last season when he hit .300 with 81 RBI and 64 stolen bases, netting himself a handy seventh place in the MVP voting. This guy has everything; five tools, good looks, and a powerful offense behind him. He's already one of the golden boys of Shea Stadium (along with third-baseman David Wright), and looks to be an important spark at the top of the lineup for years to come. He's sure to move up in the voting in 2007.

2. 2B Chase Utley (Phillies): Offensively gifted second-baseman are few and far between, and of those Utley is clearly the best there is. He strikes out a bit too often, but more than makes up for it in RBI and runs scored. If he proves to be a bit more patient at the plate, his on-base percentage could surpass .400 and the voters will be remiss to ignore him.

3. 3B David Wright (Mets): Reyes' teammate who also turned a lot of heads in 2006. He was one of the most productive hitters in the league for the first half of the season, though he slowed down a bit down the stretch. If he can keep his bat for the full season he's capable of 35+ homers and 120 RBI, certainly MVP numbers if I've ever seen them. His quick glove at the hot corner only serves to help his cause.

4. 3B Ryan Zimmerman (Nationals): The best player on the worst team, he'll give the Nats a lot of very productive at-bats and some pretty fine defense at third. He'll face a lot of competition at the hot corner from players like Wright, Scott Rolen, and Aramis Ramirez, but if Zimmerman continues to improve in his second full season in the bigs, there's no telling what he'll be capable of.

5. C Brian McCann (Braves): Mauer's counter-part in the National League, McCann broke out as one of the best offensive catchers in the game last season by hitting .333 with 24 homeruns. No catcher has won the MVP award in the National League since Johnny Bench in 1972, but if there's a modern backstop who can do it, it's certainly McCann.

Tuesday, April 10, 2007

There can only be one reason why I'm grinning like this...

I got Red Sox tickets for tomorrow! I'm gonna see Daisuke in his Fenway Debut! :-D So stoked. Watch for pictures.

Wednesday, April 04, 2007

MLB Preview 2007: Rookie-of-the-Year Favorites

American League:

1. RHP Daisuke Matsuzaka (Red Sox): Already a favorite for the Cy Young Award, Matsuzaka is sure to make a tremendous impact in his first year in Major League Baseball. His reputation for greatness may in fact hurt him in this case, though, as voters may opt instead to reward a young player who has come up through the minor leagues. Precedence has varied: Ichiro Suzuki won the award in 2001 but Hideki Matsui lost out to Angel Berroa (who has since fallen off the radar) in 2003.

2. 3B Alex Gordon (Royals): So good, he bumped Kansas City star Mark Teahen into the outfield so he could take over at the hot corner. Having a huge year while surrounded by little talent is a good way to get noticed by the voters. He's not the best defender in the game, and he's not going to have much protection batting fifth in the Royals' slim lineup, but this kid has tons of talent and is going to turn a lot of heads in '07.

3. OF Delmon Young (Devil Rays): Superbly talented, but ill-tempered, Young projects to put up some fantastic numbers for the Devil Rays in his rookie year, but may have some trouble pulling votes if he proves to be a problem in the clubhouse. Great fielder that is capable of going 30-30 while hitting for average.

4. 3B Akinori Iwamura (Devil Rays): Slick fielding infielder out of Japan has put up some pretty big numbers in his carrer in the Nippon Professional League. Like Matsuzaka, Iwamura may have trouble collecting votes because of his previous professional experience, but keep an eye on this guy.

5. RHP Phillip Hughes (Yankees): The most talked about young pitcher in the minor leagues is not starting the season with New York, but you gotta think that the Yankees are going to see some problems in their relatively thing rotation. Chances are Hughes is called up mid-year and makes a good impression as did Chien-Ming Wang a few years ago. If not, look for him as the front-runner for the award in 2008.

National League:

1. 3B Kevin Kouzmanoff (Padres): The Padres gave up their star second baseman Josh Barfield in order to pick up Kouzmanoff, so he better make an impact on the club in his rookie year. Definitely impressed in his September call-up with the Indians last year, knocking three homers and 11 RBI in just 16 games.

After Kouzmanoff (who played in an American League system last season), I'm not familiar with too many National League rookies. Rather than try to bull my way through this section I decided to link you to the MLB.com prejections, which do the job quite admirably. MLB.com NL Top Rookie Candidates

Monday, April 02, 2007

It's just opening day, people!

Dan Shaughnessy is extremely pleased with himself, isn't he? He's probably the only man in Boston who's happy to see Curt Schilling struggle in his opening day start against the Kansas City Royals.

"Where to start? Blogmaster Schilling threw like a man suffering from carpal tunnel syndrome, yielding five runs on eight hits and two walks in just four innings. 38pitches? That's almost how many Schill needed to get out of the first inning, when he threw 33 and walked home a run. It was his shortest outing since July 2001 and hardly a good start to his 2007 campaign for a new contract."

While Shaughnessy is mostly right about Schilling, and I'll agree that Curt is mostly a tool and runs his mouth too much, this whole war between the pitcher and the journalist has gotten a bit out of hand. Shaughnessy's obsession with Schilling is wholly unprofessional and will only give the Globe a bad reputation among athletes. Schilling's constant rebuttals via his 38pitches blog and elsewhere show that he's spending a bit too much time listening to the media and not focusing on his gameplay.

That said, you never see Schilling fail to log at least five innings in a game. For all you Boston fans who are currently freaking out because you think the season is over based on one game, just calm down. Even if Schilling sucks this season, the rotation does not rest on his shoulders (no matter what he seems to believe). You're going to see some big years from a couple guys named Daisuke Matsuzaka and Josh Beckett, so just quell the riots, will ya?

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

MLB Preview 2007: CY Young Favorites

American League:

1. Johan Santana (Twins): How can Santana not be the preseason favorite to take the Cy Young award for the third time in four years? This guy could change his name to Pedro MarSouthpaw and nobody would bat an eye. He took the triple crown last season, and still has the most devastating changeup in the league.
2006: 19-6, 2.77 ERA, 245 K

2. Jeremy Bonderman (Tigers): He put up some career numbers last season and is still just 24 years old. This guy has gobs of talent and is still working on improving his repertoire. Watch for him to break out in a big way in 2007.
2006: 14-8, 4.08 ERA, 202 K

3. Daisuke Matsuzaka (Red Sox): Dice-K is ready to make a huge impact in the MLB. He has an arsenal of pitches that he can command and get guys out with. Whether he’s a power-pitcher with finesse, or a finesse-pitcher with power remains to be seen, but this guy is looking a whole lot like Pedro Martinez in his prime.
2006 (Japan): 17-5, 2.13 ERA, 200 K


4. Scott Kazmir (Devil Rays): His chances are hurt by the team he plays for, but Kazmir is one of the best young lefties in the game. If the offense can help him out in the wins column, Kazmir looks to move up in the voting.
2006: 10-8, 3.24 ERA, 163 K

5. John Lackey (Angels): Put up some nice numbers last season, but stumbled a bit down the stretch. He has the stuff to take the prize, but he’s going to have to remain consistent throughout the year to prove to the voters that he’s worth it.
2006: 13-11, 3.56 ERA, 190 K

Dark Horse Candidates: Chien-Ming Wang (Yankees), Justin Verlander (Tigers), Roy Halladay (Blue Jays), Dan Haren (Athletics), C.C. Sabathia (Indians), Erik Bedard (Orioles)

National League:

1. Carlos Zambrano (Cubs): In his contract year with Chicago, Zambrano is sure to put up some big numbers in the coming season. The offense is improved around him, which should help the Cubs in the division and put Zambrano on more of the voters’ radars.
2006: 16-7, 3.41 ERA, 210 K

2. Chris Carpenter (Cardinals): This guy doesn’t need to be put on anyone’s radar. Always a threat to take the Cy Young, Carpenter should make some fantasy owners happy once again in 2007.
2006: 15-8, 3.09 ERA, 184 K

3. Jake Peavy (Padres): He’s still riddled with talent, even if his numbers were down a bit last year. I’m expecting a big bounce back from Peavy in 2007, and considering he plays in the most pitcher-friendly ballpark and division in baseball, he should post some big numbers once again.
2006: 11-14, 4.09 ERA, 215 K

4. Roy Oswalt (Astros): He posted his second straight sub-3.00 ERA last season and has collected 55 wins in the last three years. With the absence of Andy Pettitte and the unknown that is Roger Clemens, Oswalt has proven that he is the ace of the Houston rotation.
2006: 15-8, 2.98 ERA, 166 K



5. Barry Zito (Giants): The move to the National League looks to be favorable for Zito. He isn’t the dominating pitcher he once was, but he can still do a lot for a team to win games. His numbers in the NL West are sure to improve over those in the AL West.
2006 (Oakland): 16-10, 3.83 ERA, 151 K

Dark Horse Candidates: Brandon Webb (Diamondbacks), Jason Schmidt (Dodgers), Aaron Harang (Reds), John Smoltz (Braves), Ben Sheets (Brewers), Derek Lowe (Dodgers), Dontrelle Willis (Marlins)

MLB Preview 2007: Preseason Playoff Picks

Click for a larger image. And yes, I did make this myself so don't go stealing it and calling it yours. I'm the only one crazy enough to take the Reds in the NL Central and to put the Phillies in the World Series, anyway.

MLB Preview 2007: NL West

1. Los Angeles Dodgers: Losing J.D. Drew hurts, but the starting rotation more than makes up for it. By adding Jason Schmidt, the Dodgers now boast of three starters in Schmidt, Derek Lowe, and Brad Penny who have Cy Young stuff and ace potential. Juan Pierre is overrated on offense, and Luis Gonzalez is just over-the-hill, but other than that the lineup is actually looking pretty strong, though it lacks a middle-of-the-order thumper. Keep an eye on Nomar Garciaparra; I have a feeling he’s poised to have an even bigger year than he had in ‘06.

2. San Diego Padres: The division leaders of a year ago made some nice offensive moves (watch for third baseman Kevin Kouzmanoff to have a big year), but got a bit older in the rotation by adding Greg Maddux and David Wells. Still, Jake Peavy is a perennial Cy Young threat and the bullpen is as strong as ever. The reunion of the Giles brothers makes for a nice story, but not nice enough to help the team take the division.

3. San Francisco Giants: I’m nowhere near convinced Barry Zito is worth $126 million, but he should put up some decent numbers this year. Think about it - he plays in the same area as his old team, and the National League is much easier to pitch in than the American League. Bonds seems healthy, so there’s 30 homers right there, and the rest of the roster is easily solid enough to lock up third place. I like the addition of Bengie Molina behind the plate.

4. Colorado Rockies: If the Todd Helton trade rumors are anything to go by, it seems as if the Rockies are trying to shed the extra weight of some of the huge contracts they’ve signed in the past, which is a good thing. This team had some surprisingly good pitching last season, and while I don’t expect them to be quite as impressive on the mound this year, I do expect the team to be more cohesive in all aspects of the game. It probably won’t be enough to power them very far in the division, however.

5. Arizona Diamondbacks: Honestly, I was tempted to put the Giants in this position, but I just couldn’t bring myself to doubt Big Z that much. True, the D-Backs have the reigning CY Young in Brandon Webb at the top of a rotation that also features Randy Johnson and Livan Hernandez, but I just know that Arizona is going to have serious problems when it comes to offense this year. When Eric Byrnes was your leading homerun hitter at 26, and no team member surpassed 80 RBI last season, you know you’re in trouble scoring runs. Some good pitchers are going to have some low win totals in the desert this year.

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

MLB Preview 2007: NL Central

1. Cincinnati Reds: I might be the only writer outside of Ohio to pick the lowly Reds to beat out the World Series Champion Cardinals, the Astros (who appeared in the World Series in 2005), and the Cubs (who have done a lot to improve their staff this winter), right? Well, hear me out. The Reds only finished 3.5 games out from the Cardinals last season, and the Cardinals did little to improve their roster this winter. With Aaron Harang and Bronson Arroyo the two pillars of a very solid rotation, and some punch in the lineup with Adam Dunn, Ken Griffey Jr., and Jeff Conine, the Reds appear ready to make a run at the playoffs. Watch for former number one draft pick, recovering drug addict, Rule-5 pickup Josh Hamilton to make a big impact in his rookie year.

2. Chicago Cubs: The single most improved team of any this season, the Cubs are coming into the season with big expectations after landing players like Aramis Ramirez, Alfonso Soriano, and Ted Lilly. True, after Carlos Zambrano the rotation lacks a heavy hitter, but guys like Lilly, Jason Marquis, and Mark Prior (if he can stay healthy) should be solid enough to let the offense win plenty of games. And trust me, this Chicago offense is easily the best in the division. Guys like Ramirez, Soriano, and newly healthy Derrek Lee should make quite an impact on the leader boards this season.

3. St. Louis Cardinals: I know they’re the World Champions and everything, but the Cardinals simply depend too much on the strength of a few players to carry the team. After Chris Carpenter, the starting rotation is a pieced together mess. After Albert Pujols and Scott Rolen, the offense is mediocre at best. After Jason Isringhausen, no player makes a huge impact in the bullpen. Jeff Suppan, Jeff Weaver, and Jason Marquis certainly weren’t the best pitchers on the market this winter, but losing them to free agency didn’t help St. Louis’ pitching problems any. A repeat for the Cardinals in ‘07 is going to be a tall task in this division.

4. Milwaukee Brewers: This team is itching to make an impact in their division. Every starter in the rotation logged at least 11 wins with his respective team last season (except Ben Sheets, who won six games in 17 injurious starts, but who we all know has enough talent to win 15 or more games if healthy). The bullpen looks strong with Francisco Cordero set to close games out, and the lineup is deadly enough with Prince Fielder, Bill Hall, and Geoff Jenkins. What fascinates me most about this team, though, is the strength of the bench. Guys like Craig Counsell, Tony Graffanino, Kevin Mench, and Laynce Nix are going to do their part to help this club win games.

5. Houston Astros: Just like the Cardinals, this is a recent playoff team that has high expectations but depends too much on the strength of a few guys like Roy Oswalt, Carlos Lee, and Lance Berkman. Their acquisition of Mark Loretta to be used as a utility man makes me a little sad after his nice performance (every day) for the Sox last year, and Jason Jennings is not going to replace Andy Pettitte’s impact in the rotation. That said, the Astros’ playoff hopes do indeed loom on the back of one man, but he’s not even on their roster: Roger Clemens. A gut feeling (wishful thinking?) tells me the Rocket is not going to join his hometown team mid-summer, especially if they’re not doing well in the standings.

6. Pittsburgh Pirates: This is just the little club that couldn’t, isn’t it? They did manage a fifth place coup over the league-worst Chicago Cubs last season, but that doesn’t mean a whole lot for 2007 (or ever). Adam LaRoche is nice addition, but he came at a price (closer Mike Gonzalez). Still, there is some young talent on this team (Jason Bay, Freddy Sanchez), and though I’m not expecting it, I wouldn’t be entirely surprised to see them take fifth or even fourth in the division.

MLB Preview 2007: NL East

1. Philadelphia Phillies: Jimmy Rollins said a couple weeks ago that the Phillies are the team to beat in the NL East, and I may be one of the few people who believes him. The Phillies have a better starting rotation than the Mets (led by off-season pickup Freddy Garcia) and a better offense than the Braves featuring names like Chase Utley, Rollins, and the inimitable incumbent MVP Ryan Howard. I’m expecting big things from this team that hasn’t done many big things in a long time.

2. New York Mets: They still have the strongest offense in the National League, and probably improved it with the addition of Moises Alou. This team returns a remarkable three players who finished in the top ten in MVP voting (Carlos Beltran #4, Jose Reyes #7, David Wright #9). The pitching staff isn’t where it could be with all that payroll money as New York missed out on some big names like Barry Zito and Jason Schmidt. On the strength of the position players alone, I’ll put this team in the Wild Card.

3. Atlanta Braves: I like the rotation packed with names like John Smoltz and Tim Hudson (and a Mike Hampton that may be returning from his elbow injury sooner than originally thought), but this team seems to have lost the winning spirit that it possessed (at least during the regular season) for a decade and a half before last season. The problem is, the division has improved by leaps and bounds around Atlanta, and the Braves have mingled right around the status quo. Watch for Andruw Jones (in his contract year) to be traded mid-season - and remember that Boston has shown interest in the center fielder in the past.

4. Florida Marlins: This is still a young and talented team for sure, but somehow they don’t excite me as much as they did last year (maybe it has something to do with the departure of 2006 manager Joe Girardi). The team was made up of mostly rookies last season, so how many of those players are going to go through sophomore slumps in 2007? They do still have perennial MVP candidate Miguel Cabrera manning third base, and Dontrelle Willis leading a very talented young rotation, but this team is looking up at a very tough division. Getting Jorge Julio to close out games will help, but not enough.

5. Washington Nationals: I view the Nationals in the same light as I do the Royals in the American League Central; basically, an afterthought in a division that is sure to pummel them into the ground. Like the Royals, the Nats have one young player who is sure to bring a lot of smiles to people’s faces in Ryan Zimmerman, but not much else going for them. The entire roster seems like a work-in-progress (especially the rotation), and that’s just not going to cut it in this division.

*Update* Bullpen: Snyder to fill #7 slot, Lopez to fill in for Timlin

As I expected because of his lack of options and his performance during spring training, the Sox have opted to keep Kyle Snyder in the bullpen to begin the season. What surprises me a little (after comments made last year by Francona that carrying a lefty specialist can be wasteful and taxing on the manager in late innings) is the decision to allow Javier Lopez to fill in for Mike Timlin while the veteran setup man is on the shelf with on oblique strain. Of course, the team projects Timlin to be back on the roster by the April 10th home opener, so Lopez won't be with the team for long, but I still would have expected them to carry Bryan Corey or Manny Delcarmen before Lopez. Is this Francona's way of saying that he doesn't have as much confidence in newly acquired lefty J.C. Romero as needed?

MLB Preview 2007: AL West

1. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim: Hopefully for LA, ace Bartolo Colon will be healthy this year. He is just a season removed from his Cy Young campaign in 2005, and he has enough talent to top a very strong rotation. Add that to one of the best bullpens in baseball, and the Angels are looking every bit the division leader they are meant to be. The addition of Gary Matthews Jr. was probably over-hyped after his career 2006, but this team relies much more on pitching than on offense.

2. Texas Rangers: I gotta be crazy to take Texas over Oakland, right? Well, I don’t know. There are a lot of question marks on this squad, but if some of them pan out (namely returns to dominance from Eric Gagne and Sammy Sosa) then this is a team that may surprise a lot of people in 2007. They still have one of the best young infields in the game, led by first baseman Mark Teixeira, and their rotation is decent, if not spectacular.

3. Oakland Athletics: Rarely do I pick offense over pitching, but I’m putting the Rangers above the Athletics because of the massive difference in offense. Sure, the A’s have a pitching staff as good as any in the major leagues, but they’re going to have a fun time scoring runs to back it up. The off-season acquisition of Mike Piazza (who will spend his first season in the American League and as a DH) might work out well, but he’s not going to provide nearly the offensive punch of Frank Thomas, whom Oakland lost to the Blue Jays.

4. Seattle Mariners: Say goodbye to Ichiro Suzuki, Seattle fans. The man wants to win ballgames, and with all his talent who can blame him? He’ll be gone after the season if the Mariners don’t prove themselves playoff-worthy, which is going to be a tough task after trading Jamie Moyer to the Phillies and losing “ace” Gil Meche to free agency. Young Felix Hernandez (12-14, 4.52 ERA) heads a makeshift starting staff with names like Jarrod Washburn, Jeff Weaver, and Miguel Batista. You’d have to see some huge years from some mediocre players in order for Seattle to do much damage in the AL West.